It’s Monday, July 20, 2020 and I just realized what the problem is.
Every good Agatha Christie novel has a red herring – the person that is suspected of a crime but who is found to be innocent. It’s like the extra information in a math word problem – the facts that are not needed and are not needed to solve the problem. (I teach math and science as you may know.)
All along I’ve been saying that the death toll numbers for the COVID-19 outbreak are very small, less than 1%.
My family has argued with me. I have been unsuccessful at getting to see the simple reasoning. When I tell friends or neighbors the death toll is very low, they don’t either don’t believe me or don’t seem to care.
I just realized why.
The news and the government have confused everyone so much by giving too much information, that they can’t see the simplicity of the actual word problem underneath it all.
I have used the analogy of the Grand Princess as the best example of a model for the COVID-19. The overall population was approximately 3500 onboard. Exactly two died. They are said to have died of COVID-19. Right away, although I realized there were many numbers reported such as numbers of passengers tested and passengers who got sick, I ignored those numbers, going to the only numbers that mattered.
The death toll.
Historically, we have always reported the death toll – so many died of the Spanish flu in 1918-19. So many die each year from the seasonal flu outbreaks.
But since the news and government got ahold of the story, too many numbers have been reported and the waters are muddied.
It’s a smoke screen. We don’t need to know who got sick or who was tested.
As of 7/17/2020 136,000 have died in the U. S. of the coronavirus and the total U. S. population is 326.7 million.
That’s 136,000/326,700,000 = 0.000416 or 0.0416%.
That’s way less than 1%.
You’re being lied to, people. Source: Washington Post:
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